Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XLM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.335869 0.402234 0.483257 0.591136 0.733637 0.919340 1.186479
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.254885 0.337920 0.454989 0.639628 0.939209 1.439046 2.423272
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.200274 0.284805 0.416891 0.654126 1.111316 2.071906 4.733007
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.161980 0.242030 0.376788 0.644111 1.237422 2.773646 8.896301
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.140731 0.219644 0.361698 0.671137 1.462451 4.044418 20.813279
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.120250 0.193324 0.331121 0.652174 1.566553 5.186263 44.372806
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.107549 0.177999 0.317120 0.664420 1.775378 7.304832 141.373757
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.095811 0.162102 0.297734 0.655309 1.914740 9.641890 571.151679
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.088209 0.152771 0.289999 0.674237 2.186933 14.330730 17526.185344
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.082558 0.146303 0.287030 0.706086 2.565841 23.334056 NaN
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.077138 0.139391 0.281380 0.727832 2.942764 38.273838 NaN
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.072663 0.133778 0.277629 0.754967 3.414650 69.323194 NaN
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.068291 0.127891 0.272314 0.776604 3.930828 137.867782 NaN
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.064119 0.121895 0.265572 0.791069 4.462456 305.305238 NaN
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.059889 0.115217 0.255680 0.789176 4.884656 706.064060 NaN
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.055587 0.107855 0.242541 0.768402 5.104199 1562.702685 NaN
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.053216 0.104766 0.241042 0.799387 6.044707 18810.010753 NaN
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.049629 0.098343 0.228611 0.774251 6.229942 254009.155783 NaN
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.047372 0.094921 0.224616 0.789162 7.108544 NaN NaN
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.044727 0.090260 0.216051 0.777521 7.564221 NaN NaN
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.043060 0.087874 0.214198 0.801241 8.873667 NaN NaN
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.041812 0.086410 0.215036 0.841365 10.938712 NaN NaN
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 0.040402 0.084377 0.213664 0.868852 13.081185 NaN NaN